Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 90333.870600 95272.978957 100208.327396 105506.567362 111029.926308 116614.756521 122685.094264
2025-06-01 82728.198617 90332.550625 98140.683287 106746.780211 115955.495335 125502.876995 136138.886951
2025-06-08 76288.159277 85645.084439 95462.836744 106510.536077 118573.971391 131324.525228 145797.930541
2025-06-15 72525.580553 83315.796538 94841.213802 108032.129351 122674.497082 138392.549756 156503.352099
2025-06-22 69049.350844 80950.507195 93863.580444 108862.908985 125751.507138 144124.190520 165566.298893
2025-06-29 65659.562822 78420.081487 92464.912151 108998.708859 127855.003869 148614.244414 173118.644706
2025-07-06 62649.915447 76123.674661 91150.371697 109058.517031 129722.050465 152718.044940 180142.544226
2025-07-13 61050.108805 75332.653621 91450.180310 110869.053519 133508.249822 158943.570884 189550.857875
2025-07-20 59467.696105 74458.213898 91563.719789 112385.021577 136894.340156 164675.200835 198384.163392
2025-07-27 57680.547554 73244.901768 91196.268417 113262.607695 139477.445713 169441.991137 206087.908972
2025-08-03 55603.276151 71589.642624 90221.818255 113344.947521 141061.321369 173000.122993 212357.504706
2025-08-10 53797.424144 70185.506197 89477.469919 113637.527289 142841.884355 176753.229911 218839.329866
2025-08-17 51958.610144 68697.624851 88601.978949 113756.908607 144421.108153 180299.325024 225141.632460
2025-08-24 50816.144636 68028.941080 88689.155022 115020.454623 147369.166711 185483.828015 233430.321348
2025-08-31 48985.748501 66431.315448 87574.764016 114757.199470 148419.183538 188365.905397 238949.533591
2025-09-07 48182.478126 66097.755822 87998.059857 116370.819492 151754.892529 194009.844869 247826.242331
2025-09-14 47084.130892 65343.560101 87858.356982 117252.609574 154168.793066 198529.707547 255352.894978
2025-09-21 45706.713632 64181.264720 87161.361526 117396.701449 155637.786015 201879.169056 261450.873200
2025-09-28 44366.714476 63023.246112 86429.618714 117460.191264 156977.459480 205053.211886 267332.167519
2025-10-05 43921.140416 63021.719646 87164.706333 119382.945031 160656.925633 211133.503291 276834.807119
2025-10-12 43365.916879 62851.515186 87664.339762 120992.605665 163939.402681 216733.208544 285772.900467
2025-10-19 42551.307740 62306.135187 87652.811299 121924.319049 166349.811340 221247.014872 293377.343518
2025-10-26 41423.409743 61303.763104 87012.306249 122011.733179 167659.424880 224370.098509 299244.930370